Tropical Depression Or Storm In The Gulf Looking Likely This Week

The forecast remains very unclear right now.

6-18-2017 - As of Sunday afternoon, there are still a lot of unknowns about the potential for a tropical depression or tropical storm in the Gulf this week... but here is what we know.

An area of low pressure is producing a lot of rain around the western Caribbean right now. It is expected to move over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Sunday night and then move over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday. This is when the low could start to better organize and strengthen.

The National Hurricane Center gives the low a 70 percent chance of turning into a tropical depression or storm in the next 2 days and a 90 percent chance in the next 5 days. A hurricane hunter may fly into the area Monday to get a better look at what is happening.

Until the system better organizes, there will be many uncertainties. For now, it is too early to say what state the system may make landfall in, but Louisiana is an option. The storm would likely reach maximum strength as a tropical storm... with heavy rain and flooding being the biggest concern. Landfall could be between late Tuesday and Thursday depending where the system goes.

As far as a name, it depends on timing. Another area of concern is in the Atlantic, just north of South America. The first one to reach tropical storm strength will be named Bret. If both reach tropical storm strength, the second to do so will be named Cindy.


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