Many are seeing Doug Jones’ victory in Alabama this week as a wake-up call for Republicans. Tuesday night in Alabama Democrat Doug Jones defeated Republican Roy Moore 50 to 48 percent in the U.S. Senate race.
Looking closely at the numbers, it appears there was a shift in Republican support which could have implications all throughout the country especially for the midterm elections in November.
“If you step back and look at it a Democrat winning in Alabama is not something I thought I’d ever see,” said Joshua Darr, Ph.D an LSU Political Science Professor.
According to JMC Analytics and polling one of the major factors for moore’s defeat: white collar educated professionals in urban areas, who used to vote republican are defecting to democratic candidates.
For Roy Moore it seems that the writing has been on the wall since 2012 when he narrowly won his Supreme Court election. Both his previous race and the current on for an elected position can be seen as a shift when comparing the numbers.
In counties that contain Auburn and Alabama Universities which are typically inhabited by professionals Moore in 2012 received 49 percent of the vote, however in Tuesday night’s loss he only received 41 percent in those counties which amounts to an eight point decrease.
“If you’re going to pull off an upset like a Democrat winning in Alabama you’ve got to get everything right,” said Darr. “African American voters, women turnout out in absolutely huge numbers.”
With this loss the idea that Republicans will have a tougher time winning future elections has a bigger impact in battleground states. All, except one, of Louisiana’s U.S. Representatives are Republican and are up for reelection in the November midterms.