StormTracker Morning Forecast…
Today: Trough in place, along with passing disturbances may lead to scattered storm development; however, some dry air may try and sneak in from the northwest or west, which would mean rain would be spotty. For now, rain chance is around 30%. High near 91.
Tonight: A few spotty showers this evening, but most stay dry and comfortable. Lows in lower 70s.
Weekend: Scattered showers and storms with highs in the lower 90s. Rain chance is around 30% on Saturday and 30-40% on Sunday. Low temperatures in the low to mid 70s.
Next Week: Rain chances are all dependent on what happens with the tropics. Some models are showing, regardless of development or not, deep tropical moisture would move in starting on Monday, which would increase our rain chances substantially. For now, rain chance is around 60% on Monday, 60% on Tuesday, and 60% on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
Tracking the Tropics: Three disturbances have been identified by the National Hurricane Center – Tropical Storm Laura, Tropical Depression 14 (Soon to be Marco), and a vigorous wave over Africa. Confidence is increasing that both systems will impact the Gulf Coast as hurricanes and they may even make landfall around the same time, but in different areas on the Gulf Coast.
Tropical Depression 14 will most likely become Tropical Storm Marco on Friday. The system has shown signs of organization over the past few hours. It will move toward the Yucatan and then into the southern Gulf this weekend. If we have a more organized system, it would most likely get pulled to the north toward the north-central Gulf coast and toward Louisiana or southeastern Texas. If it’s weaker, it would likely track more to the west-northwest toward Texas. NHC has the storm making landfall either in Texas or Louisiana early Tuesday as a tropical storm or minimal hurricane.
Tropical Storm Laura: The NHC has it tracking toward the FL Straits/Cuba/SE Gulf by late Sunday and into Monday as a hurricane. We will have to watch to see if it interacts with land. There are major uncertainties on strength and track. If it were to impact the northern Gulf coast it would most likely be Tuesday and Wednesday. All signs are leading to some gradual intensification. Timing, strength, and track are unclear at this time. Folks from Louisiana to Florida need to monitor this. NHC says, “The details of the long-range track and intensity forecasts are more uncertain than usual.”
Now is the time to make sure your hurricane kit is fully stocked and ready to be put into use. We are now in the heart of hurricane season for the next few weeks and the next 4-6 weeks have the potential to be very active.
For more on the tropics: Tracking the Tropics
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