StormTracker Morning Forecast…
Tracking the Tropics: Tropical Storm Cristobal (Krees-TOH-Bahl) is moving to the north-northeast. It will move back into the Gulf today or tonight. For now, models continue to show a potential landfall in Louisiana however, residents from East Texas to Florida will need to monitor because impacts can and will be felt away from the center and outside of the cone. Models show a tropical storm by landfall sometime late on Sunday and into early Monday. Keep in mind, the timing may be adjusted in the coming 24 hours or so. It’s still too early to pinpoint exactly where it will make landfall, but either way, impacts will be felt well-away from the center, so please do not focus on the exact center of the cone. The extent of the tropical storm force wind field may be very broad due to it being a very unorganized system.
Coastal flooding/storm surge will likely be an issue for coastal areas east of the center, especially east facing shorelines thanks to high tides and persistent south and southeast winds. Of course, this is also dependent on where the center of circulation tracks. This includes our tidal lakes, as well. Flood Watch is in effect through Tuesday morning as rounds of heavy rain may lead to flooding issues. Area-wide rainfall totals look to be between 3-6″ with locally higher amounts, especially some areas exceeding 10″ between now and Tuesday. Now is the time to prepare. If it holds onto the current track, Louisiana could feel tropical storm force winds as early as Saturday night or early Sunday, but most likely by Sunday. Stay tuned as we fine-tune the forecast. All in all, this will mainly be a heavy rain threat.
For a full tropics discussion, click here.
Today: Showers and storms are possible, mainly during the afternoon hours. Rain chance is around 30-40%. High near 90. Any storm that develops will have the potential to drop a lot of rain.
Tonight: Evening storms before quieting down overnight. Low near 73.
Saturday: Per current track and time We will likely see passing showers late in the day with breezy conditions. High near 89. A few passing squalls will be possible late Saturday night.
Sunday: Rain bands will likely move ashore and into the area. Where the rain bands set up will be the areas that see the most rain. Winds will pick up. Tropical Storm conditions are possible. Heavy rain and tropical storm conditions likely Sunday night and into Monday.
Monday: High rain chances due to Cristobal. Keep in mind, rain coverage will all be dependent on what happens with the system. Windy. Winds will likely die down a bit Monday night.
Tuesday: Rain lingers into Tuesday before tapering into Wednesday.
Wednesday and Thursday: Rain chance is around 30%