Tracking the Tropics: Nicholas will move ashore along the middle Texas coast tonight and early Tuesday. It could even move parallel to the coast. Either way, it is forecast to eventually bend to the east-northeast and move across Louisiana as a weakening system. This will increase our flood risk Tuesday and especially into Wednesday. Some spots could pick up over 8-10″ of rain. There are other areas to watch in the Atlantic Basin, as well. Plenty of time to watch those.
Tonight: Passing showers that may produce locally heavy rainfall. Morning temperatures will be in the low and mid 70s.
Tuesday & Wednesday: Even though Nicholas is expected to make landfall in Texas, we are expecting heavy rains to extend well into Louisiana. Heavy rain at times, which means we will need to watch for flash flooding. The Weather Prediction Center has placed our area under a Moderate Risk for flash flooding on Wednesday. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for the entire area from Tuesday morning into Thursday morning. Rain totals are expected to be 5-8″ with locally higher amounts are almost a guarantee. Our flood risk could decrease if dry air gets pulled into the system. Make sure storm drains are as clear as possible to prevent neighborhood flooding. Also, there is a Marginal Risk (threat level 1 of 5) for tornadoes Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning.
Thursday: Numerous showers at times, but rain coverage should begin to decrease. Highs will be near 84.
Friday – Sunday: Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected Friday and into the weekend. Highs will be in the mid 80s.
You can always check out the Interactive Radar here.