Tonight: Showers will begin to move into our area this evening as a storm system begins to track along the northern Gulf Coast.
There are two ways this could play out tonight, which would determine how much rain we will get and the intensity of storms.
Scenario 1: A warm front could lift to the north toward the I-10 corridor, which will help us warm up and humidity would increase as well. The warm front would add fuel to the atmosphere for storms to grow in intensity and size. It just all depends on how far north the warm front lifts. There is a Marginal Risk for severe weather along and south of the I-10/I-12 corridor for later this evening through about midnight or so.
Scenario 2: If the warm front does not lift north and only rides the coast or just offshore, we will not have a severe risk in the Baton Rouge metro and the rain totals will be much lower; however, severe storms would still be possible south of the I-10 corridor and near the coast.
Either way, once the front passes, temperatures will drop and winds will pick up out of the northwest. Morning temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s.
Tuesday: Rain will clear the area prior to sunrise. It’s going to be cool and blustery all day long. If clouds do not at least thin out, our afternoon temperatures may be stuck in the low and mid 50s. Strong northerly winds between 10 and 15 miles per hour will make it feel even colder. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 30s.
Wednesday: Clouds may continue to hold tight over the area. High temperatures will be in the mid 50s and overnight temperatures are back down in the mid 30s. Some areas of frost will be possible by Thursday morning.
Thursday & Friday: High temperatures will be in the lower 50s on Thursday. Overnight temperatures are expected to down into the low and mid 30s. Some may even drop into the upper 20s northeast of Baton Rouge. High temperatures will be in the mid and upper 50s on Friday thanks to more sunshine in place. Temperatures are back down in the upper 30s overnight.
This Weekend: Another cold front will move through the area by Saturday and a couple of showers are possible, but most stay dry and cool. Highs will be in the mid 50s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.
Next Week Outlook: Temperatures look to moderate into the 60s next week and leading up to Thanksgiving. For now, Thanksgiving Day temperatures could be in the upper 60s. Additionally, there may be some rain on Wednesday and Thanksgiving. Something to watch for now.