As of the Friday mid-morning update, Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 is tracking to the northeast at 22 miles per hour (m.p.h.) toward the Florida Panhandle. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward to 175 miles east and northeast of the center. Its maximum sustained winds are at 60 m.p.h. with higher wind gusts. It is a tad bit more organized this morning, but it is still fighting a hostile environment. The disturbance is still expected to become a subtropical or tropical storm later on today. If it becomes a named storm it will be called “Nestor”.
As of 10 A.M., it is around 230 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River and 395 southwest of Panama City Beach, Florida. It is expected to track toward the northern Gulf Coast later on today and tonight before making landfall in the Florida Panhandle overnight or early Saturday.
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Grand Isle to mouth of the Pearl River, Mississippi/Alabama border to the Yankeetown, Florida.
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Indian Pass, Florida to Clearwater Beach, Florida. Storm surge inundation of 3 to 5 feet will be possible from Indian Pass to Chassahowitzka and 2 to 4 feet from Chassahowitzka to Clearwater Beach.
A little closer to home, there is a Coastal Flood Advisory for Livingston, St. Tammany, St. John the Baptist, St. Charles, Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, St. Bernard, Lower Lafourche, southern Tangipahoa parishes and Hancock, Harrison, and Jackson counties through Saturday morning. Per the National Weather Service of New Orleans/Baton Rouge, impacts would be, “Minor inundation of low-lying areas around tidal lakes, bays, and the lower reaches of rivers and bayous. A few mainly secondary roadways could become covered in water.”
This will not directly impact the Baton Rouge area. We may see some breezy conditions and a few showers here and there, but that is about it. If you’ll be in New Orleans or anywhere in extreme southeastern Louisiana today or tonight, you may run into some impacts of coastal flooding, some rainy weather, and perhaps some tropical storm-force wind gusts.
The overall impacts with this storm will be coastal flooding, deadly rip currents, rough seas, tornadoes, heavy rain, storm surge, tropical storm-force winds.
The greatest impacts will be east of the center.
Again, this will not directly impact the Baton Rouge area.
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