StormTracker Morning Forecast…
Tracking the Tropics: Tropical Storm Cristobal (Krees-TOH-Bahl) is sitting over Mexico and near Guatemala for now. It will likely meander over land for another 24 hours or so before moving back into the Gulf by late Friday. For now, models continue to show a potential landfall in Louisiana; however, residents from Texas to Florida will need to monitor because impacts can and will be felt well-away from the center. Models show a tropical storm by landfall late Sunday night and into early Monday. It’s still too early to pinpoint exactly where it will make landfall and what the exact impacts will be for Louisiana. All in all, wherever it ends up, it will create some flooding issues and tropical storm-force winds will likely be felt, especially to the east of it. How far the tropical storm force winds will extend will be dependent on how organized the system is and where it makes landfall. Coastal flooding will likely be an issue, especially east facing shorelines. Of course, this is also dependent on where the center of circulation tracks. This includes our tidal lakes, as well.
A Flood Watch is in effect through Tuesday morning as rounds of heavy rain may lead to flooding issues. Area-wide rainfall totals look to be between 3-6″ with locally higher amounts exceeding 10″ between now and Tuesday. Now is the time to prepare. If it holds onto the current track, Louisiana could feel tropical storm force winds as early as Saturday night or early Sunday, but most likely by Sunday and Sunday night. Stay tuned as we fine-tune the forecast.
Today: Showers and storms are possible, mainly during the afternoon hours. Rain chance is around 30%. High near 89.
Tonight: A few evening storms before quieting down overnight. Low near 72.
Friday: Tropical moisture continues to be pulled in from the Gulf, which will keep our rain chances elevated. Rain chance is around 40%. High near 90.
Weekend: We will be monitoring Cristobal in the Gulf. What happens with the system will determine what our rain coverage will be like this weekend and into next week. As of now, we are keeping rain chances around 40% on Saturday, 50% Saturday night and 70% on Sunday. Winds will likely pick up, as well.
Monday: High rain chances due to Cristobal. Keep in mind, rain coverage will all be dependent on what happens with the system. Windy.
Tuesday: Rain lingers into Tuesday before tapering into Wednesday.
Wednesday: Rain chance is around 30-40%.