The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA, released its predictions for the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday. It calls for above average activity again.
NOAA predicts a range of 13-20 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes, which is a category three storm or greater. NOAA gives these ranges with a 70% confidence.
Other universities and private companies have also released forecasts, which all indicate above average seasons compared to the 1991-2020 average. Penn State gives the lowest range of named storms while WeatherBELL, a private company, gives the highest range of named storms.
While forecasts call for an above average season, they do not call for a season as active as the 2020 season. Still, this would be the sixth year in a row with above average activity. New averages list 14 named storms as the 1991-2020 average. The average number of hurricanes is seven, and the average number of major hurricanes is three.
It is important to note that predictions do not estimate where storms will go. It simply estimates how many storms we could see in the Atlantic Basin.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30, but now is the time to prepare.