Sally producing heavy rain and gusty winds over Alabama and Florida

Tracking the Tropics

Sally has been downgraded to a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and gusts of 100 mph. The storm is moving north-northeasterly at 5 mph and is around 30 miles north-northeast of Pensacola.

Sally made landfall over Gulf Shores, Alabama as a category 2 hurricane. This happened around 4:45 a.m. The storm is still producing heavy rain and localized flash flooding.

Sally will continue to produce heavy rain and flash flooding over portions of Alabama and the Florida panhandle as it moves through both states and continues to move in a northeast direction. Sally is predicted to weaken into a tropical depression tomorrow morning. Sally will likely move into the Atlantic by Saturday.

According to a radar estimate, locations east of the eye have seen over 20 inches of rain, and as Sally continues to sluggishly track north-northeast, those areas will continue to see rain, wind and flooding.

Here in the Baton Rouge metro, it is a little breezy but quiet compared to what is going on to our east. Gusts could exceed 30 mph this afternoon, and rain bands could set up over us, leading to a few showers and possibly heavy rain.

With the current track, overall impacts continue to decrease for the Capital Area. Rain totals should be less than one inch. A wind gust or two at tropical strength may be possible near tidal lakes and the coast but not sustained. Tornadoes will not be threat, and storm surge will need to be monitored for all coastal parishes.

Storm Surge Inundation

Hurricane Warning – Hurricane conditions are expected in these areas within the next 36 hours.

Wind Advisory – Gusty winds are expected in these areas through the indicated time.

Heavy Rain

Our viewing area has been dropped from the Flash Flood Watch. However, passing showers are still possible for the next 48 hrs.

Sally is not the only storm to make landfall near Gulf Shores. Sixteen years ago on this day, Hurricane Ivan made landfall a few miles west of Gulf Shores as a category 3 hurricane. Even though Sally is not as strong it has been producing a ton of rainfall.

It is still very active in the tropics. There are three named storms, and all are expected to stay over the open Atlantic.

We are also monitoring three disturbances. The first is a wave off the coast of Africa that has a high chance of development over the next five days. It could become Wilfred. Another wave located northeast of the Azores has a low chance of formation. There’s also a wave in the Gulf located east of the Mexican coast, and it’s a disturbance that we’ll have to watch over the coming days. The system is producing disorganized shower activity, but there is a 50% chance that this system could become a depression in the next two days. The chance of formation over five days is 70%.

We are just one name away from using the Greek alphabet, and we’re a long way from the end of hurricane season. Be sure to follow along for updates, and stay weather aware!




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