Tropical Update: All eyes on the northern Gulf Coast while Tropical Storm Dorian forms in Atlantic

Tropics Watch

We’ve had a relatively calm hurricane season thus far, but we’re starting to pick up the pace and the StormTracker Team is keeping a close eye on a few tropical systems.

Closest to home, we have an area of low pressure located in the northern Gulf in between Texas and Louisiana. This cluster of thunderstorms is starting to show some organization but it forecast to move inland before a tropical cyclone can develop. Regardless of development this system will bring heavy rainfall to portions of south Louisiana and southeast Texas.

Here in Baton Rouge we’re expecting anywhere between 1 to 4 inches of rainfall throughout the weekend.

Chance for formation over the next 48 hours: 0%

Chance for formation over the next 5 days: 0%

Further east, a broad and elongated area of low pressure producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms sits off the southern Florida peninsula. Environmental conditions are favorable for gradual development over the next few days with a tropical depression possible by the beginning of next week. The system is forecast to move northeast offshore in the Atlantic.

As of now, this system is forecast to bring heavy rainfall to portions of the northern Bahamas and the southern/central Florida peninsula through the weekend. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday. Chance for formation chance through 48 hours: 70%. Chance for formation chance through 5 days: 90%

Roughly 700 miles east-southeast of Barbados we have Tropical Storm Dorian. Dorian has max sustained winds of 40 mph with higher gusts and is moving west at 12 mph. The Tropical Storm is forecast to become a hurricane by Tuesday as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. No watches or warning have been issued at this time.

As of now, Dorian is no threat to the northern Gulf Coast.

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