Tropical update: Dorian continues to strengthen before reaching the Bahamas

Tropics Watch

The StormTracker Team continues to track Hurricane Dorian as it moves closer to the Bahamas this evening. Dorian is a category 4 storm with max sustained winds of 150 mph and gusts as high as 185 mph. The storm is moving slowly to the west at 8 mph.

Projected Path

As of the last update Dorian’s track has shifted east staying offshore as it hugs the east coast and moves north. The slow moving storm is forecast to reach the Bahamas by Sunday. Dorian is forecast to remain at category 4 strength until Tuesday as it sits off the east coast of Florida.

The latest models are coming together showing Dorian staying off the Florida coast before moving north towards Georgia and the Carolina’s. With this scenario those located along the East Coast need to prepare.

Spaghetti Plot

There is a slight chance at this point that hurricane Dorian could clip the east coast of Carolina’s, potentially making landfall, but only time will tell with the latest models. Once the storm passes the Outer Banks, models suggest Dorian will move out in the Atlantic over open water.

Closer to home there is a tropical wave in the southern Gulf of Mexico with a 20% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 30% chance with 5 days. Although the chances are slim that the storm will move in to the northern Gulf, the StormTracker Team will continue to monitor the cluster of thunderstorms.

Gulf of Mexico

Moving east off the coast of Africa we are watching another tropical wave that has a 20% chance of development within the next 48 hours and a 60% chance of formation within 5 days. This tropical wave is still very far away from the U.S. mainland and is no threat to Louisiana.

Atlantic Ocean

The next advisory will come out at 5 a.m.

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