Tropical update: Dorian continues to strengthen before reaching the Bahamas

Tropics Watch

The StormTracker Team continues to track Hurricane Dorian as it moves closer to the Bahamas this evening. Dorian is a category 4 storm with max sustained winds of 150 mph and gusts as high as 185 mph. The storm is moving slowly to the west at 8 mph.

Projected Path

As of the last update Dorian’s track has shifted east staying offshore as it hugs the east coast and moves north. The slow moving storm is forecast to reach the Bahamas by Sunday. Dorian is forecast to remain at category 4 strength until Tuesday as it sits off the east coast of Florida.

The latest models are coming together showing Dorian staying off the Florida coast before moving north towards Georgia and the Carolina’s. With this scenario those located along the East Coast need to prepare.

Spaghetti Plot

There is a slight chance at this point that hurricane Dorian could clip the east coast of Carolina’s, potentially making landfall, but only time will tell with the latest models. Once the storm passes the Outer Banks, models suggest Dorian will move out in the Atlantic over open water.

Closer to home there is a tropical wave in the southern Gulf of Mexico with a 20% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 30% chance with 5 days. Although the chances are slim that the storm will move in to the northern Gulf, the StormTracker Team will continue to monitor the cluster of thunderstorms.

Gulf of Mexico

Moving east off the coast of Africa we are watching another tropical wave that has a 20% chance of development within the next 48 hours and a 60% chance of formation within 5 days. This tropical wave is still very far away from the U.S. mainland and is no threat to Louisiana.

Atlantic Ocean

The next advisory will come out at 5 a.m.

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Broken Clouds

Baton Rouge

84°F Broken Clouds Feels like 96°
Wind
9 mph WSW
Humidity
85%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
75°F Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Wind
4 mph SW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous
Broken Clouds

Denham Springs

84°F Broken Clouds Feels like 96°
Wind
9 mph WSW
Humidity
85%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
75°F Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Wind
4 mph SW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous
Broken Clouds

Zachary

84°F Broken Clouds Feels like 96°
Wind
9 mph WSW
Humidity
85%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
75°F Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Wind
4 mph SW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous
Broken Clouds

Port Allen

84°F Broken Clouds Feels like 96°
Wind
9 mph WSW
Humidity
85%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
75°F Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Wind
4 mph SW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous
Overcast

Saint Francisville

82°F Overcast Feels like 94°
Wind
7 mph SW
Humidity
94%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
75°F Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Wind
4 mph SW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous
Scattered Clouds

Gonzales

88°F Scattered Clouds Feels like 107°
Wind
8 mph SW
Humidity
80%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
75°F Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Wind
4 mph SW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous

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