Wednesday morning: Cold front moves in today!

Weather Forecasts

Ashley's weather forecast...

StormTracker forecast…We are waking up to showers and storms this morning as a cold front begins to move into the Deep South. You’ll need the rain gear for the morning, but not the afternoon. Once the front passes, a cooler and drier air mass will gradually settle in. Temperatures and dew points will drop during the second half of the day and this evening. Partly to mostly cloudy skies tonight with temperatures dipping into the lower 50s. I wouldn’t be surprised if some areas near the Louisiana/Mississippi state line fall into the upper 40s. Mostly cloudy on Thursday with temperatures only topping out in the lower 70s. Most of the day will be in the 60s — sweater weather! The cold front will stall to our south and eventually lift back to the north as a warm front by Friday. Slight rain chances return on Friday. Again, temperatures will only be in the 70s.

The forecast this weekend is a bit tricky because it involves the disturbance currently located over the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center is giving the disturbance a medium chance for development in the coming days as it moves northward toward the northern Gulf of Mexico. Whether it develops into a tropical or sub-tropical cyclone or not, it will cause rough seas, heavy rain, gusty winds, and possibly severe weather for wherever it ends up this weekend. At this time, model guidance shows a more eastward trend, putting Baton Rouge on the drier side. We will know more once it enters the Gulf. Hurricane Hunters may investigate it this afternoon. Stay tuned!

Wednesday Morning 7 AM Update: The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a 50% chance for formation through the next 5 days as it moves toward the northern Gulf of Mexico.
Wednesday Morning: Here is the European model showing the disturbance is pointing to potentially a more eastward track, putting Baton Rouge on the quieter side.
Wednesday Morning: Here is the potential 7 day rainfall amounts from the Weather Prediction Center, which shows the bulk of the rain, with the disturbance, is to the south and east of our area

Next week, another cold front will move into the area on Monday night and into Tuesday morning. You can expect increased rain chances Monday and Tuesday morning.

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