Your morning starts off quiet and much warmer than yesterday thanks to increased cloud cover. Highs this afternoon should reach the low-to-mid-70s with mostly cloudy skies and a light southerly breeze fueling the warm temperatures.
A cold front looks to push through after midnight into the morning tomorrow. Some strong thunderstorms will develop along this cold front in northern Louisiana but the chance for severe weather diminishes after the line of storms passes Baton Rouge. Northwest of Baton Rouge still has a marginal risk for damaging severe winds. The amount of rain with this cold front will likely be closer to an inch northwest of our area but in the Baton Rouge metro I expect a good 0.25-0.5 inch of rain with isolated higher totals possible. Most of the rain will begin to clear around sunrise on Thursday morning. Breezy north winds and cooler temperatures settle in on Thursday with mostly cloudy skies in place. Highs barely reach the mid-50s.
Overnight Thursday temperatures are forecast to drop a few degrees below freezing. This coincides with a disturbance from the Gulf of Mexico that moves in, bringing rain late Thursday into Friday morning. This disturbance from the gulf is a warmer air mass so it will likely ride up and over the cold air on the ground. As rain falls, it will approach the ground and with it, enter a layer of temperatures likely at or below freezing. This means the rain could freeze on contact at the surface leaving things quite icy or freeze before reaching the ground, resulting in sleet. So far, freezing rain looks like a possible scenario late Thursday night into the early morning hours on Friday. Amounts should be less than a 10th of an inch but the best chances for freezing rain will be west and south of Baton Rouge. Despite this, everyone should stay tuned. This is a developing forecast and could change. Even if we don’t see frozen precipitation Thursday and Friday, bridges and overpasses need to be watched closely in case of freezing over Thursday night. Overnight Friday could dip into the mid-to-upper 20s.
Dry and cold weather settles in for the weekend with highs Saturday and Sunday in the low-50s. Partly cloudy skies are forecasted. Sunday night is above freezing at 34 degrees. Monday is slightly warmer with highs in the upper-50s. We could reach 60 by Tuesday. A few showers are possible on Tuesday.